Under the refined oil pricing mechanism, the next fuel price adjustment is scheduled for 24:00 on October 15 (next Thursday).

The current pricing cycle has seen volatile movement. International oil prices plunged more than 4% on Thursday, and although crude rebounded slightly on Friday, a downward adjustment is still expected this round.

On October 10, the sixth statistical day of the cycle, gasoline and diesel prices are projected to be cut by 225 yuan per ton and 215 yuan per ton respectively.

Converted to retail prices, 92-octane gasoline is expected to drop by 0.18 yuan per liter, 95-octane gasoline by 0.19 yuan per liter, and 0-diesel by 0.19 yuan per liter. The current estimated reduction exceeds 0.15 yuan per liter, making a cut highly likely and potentially ending the previous streak of three consecutive increases.

Looking back at this year's fuel price trends, there are a total of 25 adjustment windows in 2026, with 19 already implemented and 6 remaining. The year has seen 13 increases, 1 suspension, and 5 decreases, with more rises than falls overall. Gasoline and diesel prices have cumulatively risen by nearly 2,300 yuan per ton, equivalent to an increase of 1.89 to 2.03 yuan per liter. Filling a 50-liter tank now costs 90 to 100 yuan more than at the start of the year.

Current national average reference fuel prices: 92-octane gasoline at 8.59 yuan per liter, 95-octane gasoline at 9.17 yuan per liter, and 0-diesel at 8.27 yuan per liter.

(The price changes mentioned are only institutional estimates and projections; the final adjustment magnitude is subject to official announcement.)